Thursday, November 12, 2009

Week 10 Preview

The Thursday night game just ended, and was it ever a stinker...
10-6 with turnovers abound. I picked Chicago and in spite of all of Cutler's interceptions, they had a shot with the ball at the San Fransisco 12, down 4, with 8 seconds left. Unfortunately for the Bears, Cutler threw interception #5 and the game ended. Anyhow, onto the rest of the week 10 action.
- Atlanta @ Carolina (+1.5)
Atlanta is 1-3 on the road this year, yet Atlanta is favored in this divisional match up. Carolina is playing better football as of late, and Jake Delhomme is doing a better job taking care of the football. Still, I like the Falcons to win and cover the spread this week. Atlanta is a good team all around and Carolina is too dependent on their (excellent) running game.
- Tampa Bay @ Miami (-9.5)
Tampa Bay finally got a win last week, but will not have that luck again against Miami. Miami is the best 3-5 team in the league and absolutely must win this game to keep their already-slim playoff hopes alive. Miami rolls and easily covers the spread.
- Detroit @ Minnesota (-16.5)
Detroit is going nowhere. Minnesota is thinking Super Bowl. Still, the Lions tend to play the Vikings tough and the spread is quite high so I like Minnesota to win easily but I think Detroit covers the spread with some late garbage-time points.
- Jacksonville @ New York Jets (-6.5)
This is hard game to predict because both teams are inconsistent. Jacksonville has been generally awful on the road this year, but the Jets have lost 4 of their last 5 and now must face Maurice Jones-Drew. I'm going with the Jets to win and cover, but I could see this game going either way.
- Cincinnati @ Pittsburgh (-6.5)
If not for the Pats-Colts showdown this would be the game of the week. The winner of this game will have the upper hand in the AFC North, and if the Bengals win they will what amounts to a 2 game lead over the Steelers. The game is in Pittsburgh and Pittsburgh is arguably the hottest team in the NFL, but the Bengals are playing terrific defense, particularly in the secondary, and the Steelers are a throw-first team this year. On the other side of the ball, Cedric Benson, Carson Palmer, and Chad Ocho Cinco are all playing real well. Pittsburgh is on the short week, and it will show in the fourth. I like the Bengals to pull the upset and win (and cover).
- New Orleans @ St. Louis (+13.5)
This is one game New Orleans won't need a second half comeback to win. Steven Jackson can pile up 150+ yards of offense and the Rams will still lose by 3 or 4 touchdowns. New Orleans blows out the pathetic Rams and easily covers.
- Buffalo @ Tennessee (-6.5)
Tennessee is definitely on a roll since their bye and Chris Johnson is quietly having the best season of ANY running back in the league. This Buffalo team got gashed for over 300 yards rushing by the Jets, and Chris Johnson is way better than anyone on the Jets running game. The Titans, led by a rejuvenated Vince Young, run wild on Buffalo and cover. An interesting side note: Buffalo has not returned to the playoffs since getting bounced in Tennessee on the famous "music city miracle" back in the playoffs in January of 2000. A more interesting side note: Buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo buffalo buffalo Buffalo buffalo is a grammatically correct sentence. Do not ask me why.
-Denver @ Washington (+3.5)
Denver is in need of a win. Who should they call? Ghostbusters -- no! Try the Redskins. Denver has one of the top defenses in the league. Washington has yet to top 17 points in any game. Washington's defense keeps this close for a half, but Denver is not going to drop three straight and will easily cover.
- Kansas City @ Oakland (-1.5)
These teams are both so awful that the game figures to be quite competitive. The Raiders got the best of the Chiefs earlier in the year, but I like Kansas City to win in this one. I will dawdle no more on this pathetic excuse for a game.
- Seattle @ Arizona (-8.5)
Arizona is 1-3 at home. Seattle just plain sucks. As bad as the Cardinals have been at home, I can't see them losing to Seattle, but I like the Seahawks to beat the spread.
- Dallas @ Green Bay (+2.5)
Dallas is a great November team. Green Bay just lost to a winless team. Dallas has a mean pass rush. Aaron Rogers is the most sacked QB in the league (37 sack through 8 games!). Romo is playing excellent. Green Bay's secondary is struggling. Translation: Dallas cruises to victory and beats the spread.
- Philadelphia @ San Diego (-2.5)
Philadelphia just lost a close home game to the hated Cowboys. Now they have to travel to the west coast and play a Chargers team that seems to be hitting stride. Also, last time the Eagles went west, they lost 16-13 to the mighty Oakland Raiders. Nevertheless, I think San Diego is due for a let down game, after their big road win over the Giants, and the Eagles pull the mild upset (thereby covering the spread).
Baltimore @ Cleveland (+10.5)
How this game is on Monday night is beyond me. Or anyone. Ravens are desperate. Cleveland is the worst team in the league. Can you spell blow-out. Ravens obliterate the Browns and cover the spread.
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Game of the week: New England @ Indianapolis (-2.5)
I love New England. They are by far my favorite team in any sport and pretty much the only team I REALLY root for and care about. Their annual meeting with Indianapolis is always the regular-season game I most anticipate, and this year is no exception. The games are often classics and usually play an important role in determining home field advantage in the AFC. This game has its usual hype and I cannot wait to watch. As for my pick, as a fan of the Patriots I simply cannot pick against them. I truthfully think this game could go either way, and picking with my heart as much as with my head, I will take New England to win on the road. I sure hope they do because it would make me redonkulously ecstatic.

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